OSCAR PREDICTIONS FOR 2011

 

Not an outstanding year for many great movies, though a few are worthy of awards. Last year, for the top six prestigious awards, I hit five correctly, missing the boat on Melissa Leo for her award in “The Fighter.” Otherwise, got it right with Colin Firth (Actor), Tom Hooper (Director), Christian Bale (supporting actor), Natalie Portman (actress) and “The Kings Speech” (Best Picture).

Here are my predictions for the same six categories this year:

Best Supporting Actor:

Who should win: Max Von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)

Who will win: Max Von Sydow

His main competition is another octogenarian, Christopher Plummer, for Beginners. Both are highly regarded in Hollywood circles and long overdue. Von Sydow’s role called for acting without words, playing a mute helping a young boy in his search for the truth following 9/11.

Best Supporting Actress:

Who should win: Berenice Bejo (The Artist)

Who will win: Octavia Spencer (The Help)

I base my opinion on the difficulty factor in winning the hearts and minds of the audience without uttering a word in Bejo’s The Artist. The young actress was flawless. Spencer is a Hollywood favorite, and absolutely deserve plaudits for her role in The Help. But Bejo was really better.

Best Actor:

Who should win: Jean Dujardin (The Artist)

Who will win: George Clooney (The Descendants)

Clooney was good in his movie and he’s riding a high of popularity in media and Hollywood circles. But it was just a movie with a good story, not the challenge that faced Jean Dujardin, playing a washed up stage comic in the wake of talkie movies. I could not imagine anyone playing this role better.

Best Actress:

Who should win: Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)

Who will win: Meryl Streep

Some folks will think that the award should go to Viola Davis, in The Help, who played a fabulous role. Again, Streep’s part was far more difficult, playing the iron lady in her prime, and later as an old woman, becoming the essence of Margaret Thatcher beyond what any other actress could achieve. Though nominated a record seventeen times, she has not won an Oscar in almost thirty years. It’s time.

Best Movie:

Who should win: The Artist

Who will win: The Artist

I don’t Tthink the The Help can overcome the sheer artistry that went into the making of this picture. It’s a one-of-a-kind.

Best Director:

Who should win: Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)

Who will win: Martin Scorcese (Hugo)

If Hazanavicius doesn’t win (though he should) then it ought to go to Scorcese for his magnificent accomplishment in Hugo, another work of mastery in movie making. But, The Artist was better in terms of artistry, uniqueness and power.

The Academy Awards are this Sunday, February 26th. We’ll see the results then.